Diamonds

$687 a carat: lab-grown's one-dollar drift becomes a thirteen-dollar step

CaratRadar's one-carat average fell $13 to $687 on 1 September, down 1.86% in a session. Every other move on this tape since 5 August was three dollars or less.

By The Diamond Desk

What changed

The one-carat lab-grown reference this paper carries fell to $687 on 1 September, from $700, a drop of $13 or 1.8571% in a single session.

What it means

  • A drift that becomes a step is usually a repricing rather than a trade, and the thing to watch this week is whether $687 holds or whether it was the first of several. The series has spent a month proving it can fall by a dollar without anyone noticing, which is precisely why a thirteen-dollar day is information.
  • For retailers the practical consequence is narrow and immediate: lab-grown goods bought against a $700 average are carrying a 1.86% paper loss this morning, and unlike natural stones there is no scarcity argument that brings them back. The floor for a manufactured product is the cost of manufacturing it, and nothing in this series has yet found it.

Key figures

per carat, 1 September$687
in one session-$13
largest prior daily move, 14 August$3
since the 8 August high of $711-3.3755%

Source: the one-carat lab-grown reference

The lowest reading this tape has carried

The figure is CaratRadar's average asking price for a one-carat lab-grown stone, read directly from the page by this desk, which carries its own dateline of 1 September and reports 1,204,718 active listings behind it.

It is the lowest reading in this tape's record, and that record begins on 5 August 2026, so the claim is scoped to twenty-one sessions and no further. What makes it worth a page is not the level but the size of the step.

per carat, 1 September$687

The one-carat lab-grown reference, $ per carat

8 Aug (High)$711
17 Aug$705
25 Aug$701
31 Aug$700
1 Sep$687

Source: the one-carat lab-grown reference

A month of ones and twos, then a thirteen

Until this morning the series had one shape and it was a drift. The mark peaked at $711 on 8 August and came down in ones and twos: $710, $707, $705, $704, $703, $701, $700. Across the whole of that run the largest single-day move was three dollars, on 14 August, which was 0.4225%.

Today's move is $13, four and a third times the largest daily fall the series had previously produced, and it comes after two sessions at $700 in which nothing moved at all. Cumulatively the reference has lost $24, or 3.3755%, since the 8 August high.

Most of that was accumulated a dollar at a time over three and a half weeks; more than half of the last week's loss arrived this morning.

The one-carat lab-grown reference, $ per carat
Figure
8 Aug (High)$711
17 Aug$705
25 Aug$701
31 Aug$700
1 Sep$687

Twenty-four dollars came off in twenty-one sessions, and thirteen of them came off this morning. CaratRadar one-carat average, as carried on this paper's tape 5 August to 1 September 2026. Carat Capital graphics desk.

The natural side is on a different clock

The natural side is not moving with it, and the honest thing is to say that the two cannot be compared day to day. This paper's RapNet Diamond Index mark is a monthly figure and still carries its 24 July date, so there is no natural reading for 1 September to set against this one.

The most recent natural data this desk can point to is Rapaport's Diamond Pulse newsletter published in early August, which reports July rather than August: one-carat prices staged a broad turnaround in July, reversing June's declines across nearly every category, with K-M VS stones moving from a 0.1% loss to a 2.8% gain, D-F SI declines narrowing to 0.2% from 2.1%, and G-J SI reversing to a 0.2% gain from a 0.3% decline.

That is a month old and it is natural goods, not made ones. Set beside a lab-grown series that has not posted a single up day since this tape opened, it describes two markets that have stopped rhyming.

Three numbers, none interchangeable

One caution for anyone pricing off this, because the trade routinely quotes three different numbers as though they were one. The $687 here is an average asking price for a finished one-carat stone in a retail-facing listings pool.

The chip on this site's own tape reads $475, and that is a different thing again: the midpoint of the published CVD wholesale band for a one-carat D-F VS stone. This paper's lab-grown price list carries a third, $545 the carat as a retail ask.

None of the three is wrong and none of them substitutes for another.

A merchant reading a 1.86% fall in the listings average should not assume the same fall has reached the wholesale band, which moves on a slower clock and is republished rather than ticked.

The story so far

  1. RMB 3.641 billion, down 20.79%: Chow Tai Seng's margin rose anyway
  2. 76.9 million carats, 3.1% of the value: Dubai gives lab-grown its own desk

Go deeper

Method

Twenty-four dollars came off in twenty-one sessions, and thirteen of them came off this morning.

Sources3