Carat^Capital
Carat Capital · The trade paper of the jewelry world · Est. MMXXVI · Free to read
Desk D—04 · Filed Daily

Watcheshaute horlogerie, priced by the second

Where jewelry meets machinery and the secondary market never sleeps. The watch desk reads Swiss export data, brand strategy and auction results — and tracks the collector indices that turned wristwatches into an asset class with a service manual.

CHF 26BSwiss exports, annualized
−8%Secondary index vs peak
70%Of value: top 4 brands
Plate D-04 — OPALEHORSE · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia CommonsCC

The briefing — what's moving now

Updated each edition
B-01

World Cup summer becomes a watch story

Diamond-set footballs, athlete ambassadors, limited editions timed to the tournament — the industry is spending the summer converting football fever into waiting lists.

Marketing · Geneva
B-02

The secondary market finds its floor

After the 2022–24 correction, blue-chip references have stabilized. Dealers report clean two-way trade again — the speculative froth is gone, the collector base isn't.

Secondary · Global
B-03

Steel sports scarcity is policy, not accident

Waiting lists for steel icons persist because supply discipline works. The desks reads allocation strategy the way the diamond desk reads the sight.

Strategy · Biel

Talk like the trade — the working vocabulary

The trade's terms, plainly told
Grey marketTerm

Unauthorized but legal dealers trading new watches outside official channels. Grey premiums and discounts are the truest real-time price signal in the industry — we quote them daily.

ManufactureConcept

A maison that builds its own movements rather than buying them. The word carries a price premium and a century of Swiss industrial politics.

ReferencePractice

A watch's model number — collectors trade references the way equity desks trade tickers. One digit can double a price at auction.

ComplicationTerm

Any function beyond telling the time: chronograph, perpetual calendar, minute repeater. Complexity is the currency of horological prestige — and of service costs.

Latest from this desk

Filed by correspondents
S—01

Swiss watch exports jump 11.2%, but the profit doesn't follow

June's 11.2% export rebound was the strongest reading in a year and sent Swatch shares higher. Yet the group's half-year profit was CHF 16 million on CHF 3.12 billion of sales, half a percent. The volume is back; the margin is not.
2026-07-24 · 4 min
S—02

Swatch's split screen: nine percent growth, sixteen million profit

Swatch Group's first half: revenue CHF 3.12 billion, up 2% reported and 9% at constant currency, with the US up 27%, Japan up 20% and Spain up 28%. Net profit fell 6% to CHF 16 million — a margin of half a percent.
2026-07-23 · 4 min
S—03

2,800 square feet for the crown: Tysons gets its Rolex

Liljenquist & Beckstead, family jewelers since 1978, opened a 2,800-square-foot Rolex boutique in Tysons Galleria on July 22 — bronze-brass façade, walnut walls, and a Rolex-trained watchmaking workshop built to be watched.
2026-07-23 · 3 min
S—04

‘The rumours were true’: Bennahmias tried to buy De Bethune

The former Audemars Piguet chief confirms a failed run at the 500-piece independent now owned by The 1916 Company, just as DB25 Starry Varius results run $42,000 to $135,500 at auction, consistently over estimate.
2026-07-22 · 4 min
S—05

Plus 11.2%: June hands Swiss watchmaking its month back

Exports reached CHF 2.4 billion in June on 1.3 million pieces — the strongest month of the year. America added 12.7%, France more than doubled, and the CHF 200–500 segment grew 54.1%. The half still reads −0.7%.
2026-07-21 · 5 min
S—06

£133 million, up 76%: Watches of Switzerland answers its doubters

Statutory pre-tax profit jumped 76% to £133 million ($170 million) for the year — six weeks after the board waved off interest at a reported £1.75 billion. IDEX reports the result has buyers circling again.
2026-07-21 · 4 min

This desk, on the record — the last eight weeks

Show the chronicle
Watches This week — July 20

Swatch Group grows 9% at constant currency, earns half a percent

H1 revenue CHF 3.12B (+2% reported), watches and jewelry CHF 2.95B; US +27%, Japan +20%, Spain +28%, China incl. HK/Macau +9%. Net profit fell 6% to CHF 16M. The group expects a stronger second half on May–July momentum.

Source — Rapaport
Watches This week — July 20

Swiss exports snap back 11.2% in June

The FH reported June exports of CHF 2.4 billion on 1.3 million pieces (+11.7% volume) — the strongest month of 2026 after April's −16.6% and May's +0.4%. The US took CHF 349M (+12.7%), France doubled to CHF 250M (+103.5%), and the CHF 200–500 band grew 54.1% while CHF 500–3,000 fell 4.7%. H1 stands at CHF 12.8B, −0.7%.

Source — FH / swissinfo
Watches Week of July 13

Audemars Piguet UK: sales +29% to £105M, profit down 3%

2025 accounts show £7.8M operating profit on £105M sales; Manchester AP House booked £7.4M sales and a £738K loss in year one; UK property and fittings rose from £2.8M to £17.6M. Clifton Street AP House opened Feb 2026.

Source — WatchPro
Watches Week of July 13

Rolex CPO premium compresses to 22.6% median as program scales

Morgan Stanley × WatchCharts: launch-era ~40% premium now 22.6% median; Q2 program sales $186M; 157 of 712 retailers enrolled; top-three inventory share down from 63% to 48%; median participating retailer's H1 CPO revenue $899k, from $578k.

Source — WatchPro / Morgan Stanley–WatchCharts
Watches Week of July 13

Richemont prints a 20 percent quarter

Q1 to June 30: group sales €6.3B, +20% constant currency (+17% actual); Americas +27% to €1.7B; direct retail +24%; specialist watchmakers return to growth at +8% to €873M after a -4% FY26.

Source — WatchPro / Richemont

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