Carat^Capital
Carat Capital · The trade paper of the jewelry world · Est. MMXXVI · Free to read
Desk D—04 · Filed Daily

Watcheshaute horlogerie, priced by the second

Where jewelry meets machinery and the secondary market never sleeps. The watch desk reads Swiss export data, brand strategy and auction results — and tracks the collector indices that turned wristwatches into an asset class with a service manual.

CHF 26BSwiss exports, annualized
−8%Secondary index vs peak
70%Of value: top 4 brands
PLATE D-04 — THE WATCHES DESK CC/2026/D04
Engraving — CC graphics deskD—04

The briefing — what's moving now

Updated each edition
B-01

World Cup summer becomes a watch story

Diamond-set footballs, athlete ambassadors, limited editions timed to the tournament — the industry is spending the summer converting football fever into waiting lists.

Marketing · Geneva
B-02

The secondary market finds its floor

After the 2022–24 correction, blue-chip references have stabilized. Dealers report clean two-way trade again — the speculative froth is gone, the collector base isn't.

Secondary · Global
B-03

Steel sports scarcity is policy, not accident

Waiting lists for steel icons persist because supply discipline works. The desks reads allocation strategy the way the diamond desk reads the sight.

Strategy · Biel

Talk like the trade — the working vocabulary

The trade's terms, plainly told
Grey marketTerm

Unauthorized but legal dealers trading new watches outside official channels. Grey premiums and discounts are the truest real-time price signal in the industry — we quote them daily.

ManufactureConcept

A maison that builds its own movements rather than buying them. The word carries a price premium and a century of Swiss industrial politics.

ReferencePractice

A watch's model number — collectors trade references the way equity desks trade tickers. One digit can double a price at auction.

ComplicationTerm

Any function beyond telling the time: chronograph, perpetual calendar, minute repeater. Complexity is the currency of horological prestige — and of service costs.

Latest from this desk

Filed by correspondents
S—01

Movado first-half operating income rises 409% to $21.9 million

Net sales for the six months to 31 July reached $312.2 million, up 6.3%, on a gross margin of 58.4% against 54.1%. The figures come from Movado Group's quarterly filing with the SEC.
2026-09-04 · 2 min
S—02

17 weeks in, Watches of Switzerland holds 5-10% guidance

The group also reiterated 40 to 80 basis points of adjusted EBIT margin expansion for the full year. Capital expenditure is guided at £60 million to £70 million, with free cash flow conversion near 70%.
2026-09-04 · 2 min
S—03

$24,900 for a rubber Big Bang: Hublot prices texture as a material, not a finish

The Big Bang Original Soft Touch launched on 1 September in All Black and All Red at $24,900, on the in-house HUB1280 column-wheel chronograph built at Nyon.
2026-09-02 · 3 min
S—04

Movado's sales rose 4.9%, the exact figure by which Fossil's fell

The quarter to 31 July put Movado's net sales at $169.8 million and net income at $12.3 million against $3.0 million a year earlier, helped by $3.2 million of tariff duty refunds.
2026-08-27 · 5 min
S—05

Fossil's sales fell 4.9%, and watches were the line that held

Fossil's quarter to 4 July shows net sales down 4.9% to $209.7 million. Traditional watches fell 1.5%, leathers fell 31.1% and jewellery fell 11.2%. Across six months, traditional watch sales rose.
2026-08-26 · 5 min
S—06

560 applicants for 27 places: the watch trade's arithmetic problem

Rolex's Dallas school took 27 of more than 560 applicants in 2024. North Seattle College takes 10 to 12 a year. America had about 6,500 watchmakers in 2021, against 44,000 in 1953.
2026-08-25 · 4 min

This desk, on the record — the last eight weeks

Show the chronicle
Watches This week - August 17 to September 7

Movado Group's first-half operating income rose 409% to $21.9 million on a gross margin of 58.4%

Movado Group's Form 10-Q for the six months to 31 July 2026, filed with the SEC on 26 August 2026, puts net sales at $312.154 million against $293.598 million, up 6.32%, and gross profit at $182.418 million against $158.915 million, up 14.79%. Gross margin is 58.44% against 54.13%, a gain of 4.31 percentage points on this paper's division of the filing's own dollar figures. Operating income is $21.893 million against $4.298 million, an increase of 409%. Net income attributable to Movado Group is $19.229 million against $4.406 million, up 336.4%, and diluted earnings per share $0.84 against $0.20. Operating margin moved from 1.5% of sales to 7.0%. Gross profit gained $23.503 million while operating income gained $17.595 million, the $5.908 million difference going to operating costs. Of the gross-profit gain, $13.2 million is margin and $5.3 million volume. This paper's 27 August piece covers the quarter to 31 July alone, net sales $169.8 million; this filing covers the six months containing it.

Source — SEC EDGAR, Movado Group Form 10-Q, filed 26 August 2026
Watches This week - August 17 to September 7

Watches of Switzerland reiterated 5-10% revenue growth and 40-80bp of margin expansion 17 weeks into FY27

The Watches of Switzerland Group AGM trading update, released through the Regulatory News Service on 3 September 2026, covers the 17 weeks to 30 August 2026 and reiterates full-year guidance of 5% to 10% revenue growth at constant currency, organic, and 40 to 80 basis points of adjusted EBIT margin expansion from FY26, stated pre-IFRS 16. Capital expenditure is guided at £60 million to £70 million and free cash flow conversion at about 70%. Trading in the United States remained strong and the United Kingdom showed further signs of market improvement; no revenue figure is given for either region or for the group over the period. Named for before Christmas: Rolex Glasgow, Betteridge in Greenwich, Connecticut, and Watches of Switzerland and Mayors showrooms in Marlton, New Jersey. Goldsmiths Chelmsford and Goldsmiths Watford have reopened after refurbishment; a multi-brand showroom opened in Avalon, Georgia in July, where the Mayors site is converting to luxury jewellery. The 5-10% range was first published with the FY26 results this paper covered on 15 July.

Source — Investegate, WOSG AGM Trading Update, RNS, 3 September 2026
Watches This week - August 17 to September 7

Hublot prices the Big Bang Original Soft Touch at $24,900 with texture overmoulded into the rubber rather than applied as a coating

Hublot introduced the Big Bang Original Soft Touch on 1 September 2026 at $24,900, in two colourways, All Black and All Red, running the in-house HUB1280 column-wheel chronograph conceived, developed and assembled at the manufacture in Nyon. The textured rubber compound is produced by an overmoulding process that embeds the texture during manufacture rather than applying it afterwards as a coating or surface treatment, and it runs across case, bezel, dial and strap. All Black revisits the monochrome concept the house first showed in 2006; All Red draws on the red ceramic introduced in 2018. Positioned against this paper's reporting of 20 August 2026 on the Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry's July figures: exports of watches with an export price above CHF 3,000 rose 12% by value inside a total up 9.6%, though that threshold is an export price and not a retail one, so the comparison is stated in print as directional only.

Source — JCK, 1 September 2026; Time and Tide Watches; Gear Patrol; Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry July 2026 figures as reported by Carat Capital, 20 August 2026.
Watches This week - August 17 to September 7

Movado's net sales rose 4.9% to $169.8 million in the quarter to 31 July, and net income was 4.10 times the prior year

Movado Group filed its Form 10-Q on 26 August for the three months to 31 July 2026. Net sales rose $7.9 million or 4.9% to $169.8 million. Watch and Accessory Brands made $142.9 million, up 5.3%, and Company Stores $26.9 million, up 2.8%, putting the watch segment at 84.2% of the company on this desk's arithmetic. Inside the watch segment, licensed brands grew $8.3 million or 9.0% while owned brands grew $0.3 million or 0.7%. United States locations made $47.5 million, up 5.9%; international $95.4 million, up 5.0%, including $0.7 million of favourable currency, without which sales would have risen 4.4%. Net income attributable to Movado Group was $12.3 million against $3.0 million, or 4.10 times, and $19.2 million against $4.4 million across six months, or 4.36 times. Gross profit rose $13.3 million and gross margin expanded approximately 530 basis points, roughly 380 of them attributed by the company to sales mix, and gross profit included $3.2 million of IEEPA duty refunds received, a little over a quarter of the quarter's net income. The company operated 57 retail outlet locations at both period ends. Carat Capital reported on 26 August that Fossil Group's net sales fell 4.9% in its own quarter to 4 July; the two quarter ends are twenty-seven days apart and are neighbouring periods, not the same one.

Source — Movado Group Form 10-Q, SEC EDGAR, filed 26 August 2026
Watches This week - August 17 to September 7

Fossil Group's quarter to 4 July falls 4.9% to $209.7 million, and the watch line falls 1.5%

Fossil Group's Form 10-Q for the thirteen weeks to 4 July 2026, filed with the SEC on 13 August, puts net sales at $209,688 thousand against $220,388 thousand for the quarter to 5 July 2025, a fall of $10.7 million or 4.9%. On the company's own table of net sales by class of similar products, traditional watches fell from $178,446 to $175,746 thousand, which is 1.5%; smartwatches from $1,400 to $1,388 thousand; total watches from $179,846 to $177,134 thousand, 1.5%. Leathers fell from $16,947 to $11,679 thousand, a drop of $5,268 thousand or 31.1%, which is roughly half the company's entire decline from a line worth under 6% of sales. Jewellery fell from $19,390 to $17,220 thousand, $2,170 thousand or 11.2%. Across twenty-six weeks traditional watch sales rose, from $363,076 to $364,477 thousand, up $1,401 thousand or 0.4%, while total watches were down 0.25%, leathers down 34.6% and jewellery down 10.3%, on half-year net sales down 4.2% from $453,681 to $434,449 thousand. Watches rose as a share of quarterly sales from 81.6% to 84.5%, jewellery slipped from 8.8% to 8.2% and leathers from 7.7% to 5.6%. The filing is thirteen days old and cannot lead under this paper's fourteen-day rule.

Source — Fossil Group Form 10-Q, filed 13 August 2026, SEC EDGAR

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