Diamonds

One billion for De Beers, and $750 million of it up front

Bloomberg puts the Gareth Penny consortium's price at about $1 billion: roughly $750 million on closing and $250 million later, with some $500 million of working capital going in behind it. Book value earlier this year was $2.3 billion.

By The Diamonds Desk

Corrected

What changed

Anglo American's exit from diamonds now has a number attached, and it is a small one.

What it means

  • A billion dollars is the trade's own valuation of the story it has been telling itself since 2022. What the buyer gets is the Forevermark shelf space, the Botswana relationship, the Element Six industrials arm, and a rough book that now has to be sold into the market rather than above it.
  • The number that matters is not the $1 billion but the $500 million going in behind it, because the price of the asset is now smaller than the cost of carrying it through another soft year.

Key figures

reported total$1B
paid on closing$750M
deferred$250M
working capital in$500M

Source: the De Beers price

A number, at last

Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that the Global Diamond Consortium, the group led by former De Beers chief executive Gareth Penny, would pay about $1 billion for Anglo's 85% stake: roughly $750 million on closing and a further $250 million deferred.

The consortium would then put around $500 million of working capital into the business it had just bought. Terms are not final, and neither side has confirmed them on the record.

Set that against the ledger. De Beers carried a book value of about $2.3 billion earlier this year, after Anglo took $3.5 billion of write-downs against the asset. When the business was taken private in 2001 it was valued at $17.6 billion.

A price of $1 billion is therefore not a discount to a peak so much as an admission that the peak belonged to a different industry.

reported total$1B

What De Beers has been worth

2001 Take-Private$17.6B
Book, Early 2026$2.3B
Reported Price$1.0B

Source: the De Beers price

Producing into the trough

The June quarter explains where the bid sits. De Beers dug 88% more rough than a year earlier, 7.8 million carats, and banked 44% less for it: revenue of $665 million at an average price of $110 a carat, down 37%.

Producing into the weakest market in a generation is what a miner does when its mine plans were set years ago and its buyers were not. A purchaser is pricing that inventory, not the marketing.

What De Beers has been worth
Figure
2001 Take-Private$17.6B
Book, Early 2026$2.3B
Reported Price$1.0B

USD. Take-private valuation vs. carrying value vs. reported bid. Carat Capital graphics desk.

Three governments at one table

The politics are the harder part of the arithmetic. Botswana owns the other 15% and has told its parliament that the stake carries complete freedom: join the consortium, exercise pre-emption alone, or bid alongside a third party.

Namibia and Angola already sit inside the Penny group, so three producer governments would end up on the same side of the table as the traders who buy from them. Anglo still expects to close by the end of 2026.

The story so far

  1. Anglo picks the Penny group
  2. Botswana answers Penny: partner, pre-empt, or bring a friend
  3. Ninety-five percent sold in Luanda, and Sodiam beats its book by 23%

Go deeper

Corrections1 note

Correction, 20 October 2026: this article as published gave the June quarter's average price as $105 a carat, down 32%. That is De Beers' first-half figure. De Beers' Q2 2026 production report, re-read on 20 October 2026, 123,318 bytes, says 'The H1 2026 consolidated average realised price declined by 32% to $105/carat'; its table gives the second quarter at $110, down 37%, with the price index at 69, down 17%. The sentence now carries the quarter's $110, down 37%. What was right as published: the 88% production rise, the 7.8 million carats and the $665 million. Found by this paper's Editor on 20 October 2026.

Method

USD. Take-private valuation vs. carrying value vs. reported bid.

Sources4