CaratSeventy percent old gold: India's counter learns to recycle
The World Gold Council's July update shows imports down 42% in June to $1.97 billion, the lowest since June 2025, while some retailers report old-gold exchanges at up to 70% of jewelry sales and April-June revenue up 30-60%.
The most striking number in the World Gold Council's July update on India is not a price. It is a proportion: at some retailers, old-gold exchanges now make up as much as 70% of jewelry sales.
India is often described as the world's price-taker in gold. This summer it looks more like a closed loop, selling itself its own metal at a narrowing discount.
For the global market the message is subtle but real: when the world's second-largest consumer meets a rally with recycled supply rather than fresh imports, the marginal ounce has to find its buyer somewhere else.
| Figure | |
|---|---|
| Gold Etf Inflows, Best Since Feb | ₹34.4B |
| Digital Gold, 3-Month High | ₹25.5B |
IThe cupboard is the mine
The customer walks in with her grandmother's bangles and walks out with a new set, and the till records a sale that required almost no new metal at all.
Kavita Chacko's market report, published July 17, describes a market that has responded to four-thousand-dollar gold not by leaving the counter but by feeding it from the household vault.
IIA correction that felt like a rally
The price backdrop explains the behavior. International gold fell more than 11% in June to around $4,000 an ounce before stabilizing in July, and domestic prices declined roughly 10% to near 141,000 rupees per ten grams.
The year-to-date split is stranger: international prices are down 7% in 2026, but Indian domestic prices have gained 6%, propped up by a May import-duty increase and a softer rupee.
Indian households, in other words, have watched local gold get more expensive even through a global correction, and the rational response has been to monetize the metal already in the cupboard.
Demand did not disappear; it changed shape. Retailers reported April-June revenue growth of 30-60% year over year as the June price dip pulled buyers in. Gold ETFs took in 34.4 billion rupees in June, the strongest month since February, and digital gold purchases reached a three-month high of 25.5 billion rupees in transaction value.
Bars and coins, the classic price-chasing trade, cooled as softer prices made the momentum case harder to tell.
IIIThe loop closes
The recycling wave shows up in the trade accounts. Gold imports fell 42% month over month to $1.97 billion in June, the lowest reading since June 2025, with estimated volumes of just 16-22 tonnes.
With scrap supplying the counters, the domestic discount to international prices narrowed from a peak of $150 an ounce in May to about $40 by mid-July. A market that once imported its demand is, for now, circulating it.
01Method · the desk’s arithmetic+
Bars and coins cooled as the June dip took the momentum case away
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