Carat3.5 times hotter: Cartier leads the pre-owned recovery
Chrono24's June ChronoPulse index has Cartier's secondary-market heat building 3.5 times faster than any other tracked brand — up 5.9 percent on the month, near 10 percent over six months — with all 13 tracked brands now positive over the half.
The pre-owned watch market has spent three years as the industry's cold plunge; the June data says the water is warming, and the surprise is who's making it boil.
For jewelers who trade pre-owned, the June table is a stocking list — shaped Cartier first, complicated Jaeger-LeCoultre second, and patience with sports steel, which recovers last because it fell from highest. The number to respect is that 28.1 percent gap: it is the margin the market is offering today and expects to close tomorrow.
Buy the heat while it still comes with a discount.
| Figure | |
|---|---|
| Cartier | ≈10% |
| Jaeger-Lecoultre | +8.6% |
| Patek Philippe | +6.8% |
| Market Average | +5.5% |
IThe water is warming, and Cartier is making it boil
Chrono24's ChronoPulse index — which tracks roughly 140 models across 13 major luxury brands — shows Cartier's market heat building 3.5 times faster than any other brand it follows, per WatchPro's Wednesday report: up 5.9 percent month on month in June and nearly 10 percent over six months, against a market average of 1.2 and 5.5 percent respectively.
IIThe breadth matters as much as the leader
The breadth matters as much as the leader. Ten of the thirteen tracked brands moved higher in June, and — per Chrono24's head of brand engagement Balazs Ferenczi — "every brand we track is now in positive territory" over the six-month window.
Patek Philippe is up 6.8 percent over six months and 12.2 percent on the year; Jaeger-LeCoultre has recovered 8.6 percent. After the great 2022–2024 deflation, the secondary market has stopped being a short and started being a base.
IIICartier owns the shaped-watch moment — at a discount
Cartier's outperformance has a shape. The brand owns the shaped-watch moment — Tank, Panthère, Baignoire, Crash — exactly the silhouettes the auction market and the under-forty buyer have been bidding up while round sports steel consolidates.
And the arbitrage is still open: pre-owned Cartier trades roughly 28.1 percent below retail on WatchCharts and Morgan Stanley's first-quarter data, a discount that functions as an invitation. Heat plus discount is how rallies start; heat minus discount is how they end. Cartier is still in the first phase.
The corporate echo arrived the same day, with Richemont — Cartier's owner — printing a 20 percent group quarter and its watch division back to 8 percent growth.
Primary and secondary markets confirming each other is the configuration the trade has not seen since 2021: new-watch demand pulling, resale values firming beneath it, and the gap between the two narrow enough that neither cannibalizes the other.
01Method · the desk’s arithmetic+
All 13 tracked brands now positive over the half
Twenty percent: Richemont's quarter calls the luxury turn
The corporate echo: a 20 percent group quarter, watchmakers back to growth.
The trade, filed before the New York open.
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